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Interactive learning tool

Bayesian Toolkit

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Numbers

Hypotheses
H
Prior (base rate)
P(H)
Evidence likelihoods
P(E|H)
Joint probabilities
P(H and E)
Probability of evidence
P(E)
Normalized posterior
P(H|E)

Tree diagram

Two-way table

Bayesian update table

Area model

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Evidence Evidence label Complement label

Natural frequencies Population total